Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Swamp Sparrow Population Trend in Michigan
Swamp Sparrow in Michigan has surged: up 449% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+449%Since 1968
92Routes In State
58Years
Notable Swamp Sparrow Trends in Michigan
long arc increasecomputed index
Swamp Sparrow has surged in Michigan: up 449% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Swamp Sparrow Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, Swamp Sparrow in Michigan is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.8–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+15%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
1.8–3.795% range
±26.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 2026 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 2027 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.7 |
Swamp Sparrow Survey Routes in Michigan
| Muskallonge | 11 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Chippewa Lk. | 10 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ned Lake | 7 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Brocky Lake | 7 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Seney Nwr | 7 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Nashville | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Galesburg | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Howardsville | 6 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Pettysville | 6 | 1979 | 1969 |
| Marenisco | 5 | 2019 | 1981 |
| Herman | 5 | 2015 | 1983 |
| Tahquamenon | 5 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Walloon Lake 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Lapeer | 5 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Pine River | 5 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Lawrence | 4 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Pleasant Val | 4 | 1991 | 1986 |
| Hubbard Lake | 4 | 1993 | 1974 |
| Hamburg | 4 | 2001 | 1981 |
| Almena | 4 | 2015 | 1993 |
| Gibbs City | 3 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Maple Grove | 3 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Cunard | 3 | 2018 | 1981 |
| Belding | 3 | 2000 | 1983 |
| Mottville | 3 | 2024 | 1969 |
Swamp Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.