Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-cockaded Woodpecker Population Trend in North Carolina
Red-cockaded Woodpecker in North Carolina has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-72%Since 1971
10Routes In State
46Years
Notable Red-cockaded Woodpecker Trends in North Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Red-cockaded Woodpecker has fallen sharply in North Carolina: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Red-cockaded Woodpecker Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Red-cockaded Woodpecker in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±222.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2195% range
±222.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| 2028 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| 2029 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
Red-cockaded Woodpecker Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Shallotte | 3 | 1987 | 1967 |
| Wards Corner | 3 | 1974 | 1966 |
| Lake Surf | 3 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Raeford | 2 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Mashoes | 2 | 1971 | 1971 |
| South. Pines | 2 | 1996 | 1995 |
| California | 2 | 2012 | 1972 |
| Supply | 1 | 1997 | 1995 |
| Sheep Ridge | 1 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Broad Creek | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
Red-cockaded Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.