Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Green Heron In Appalachian Mountains
Green Heron in Appalachian Mountains has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-65%Since 1968
335Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Green Heron has fallen sharply in Appalachian Mountains: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.01–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-44%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.01–0.2795% range
±23.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.30 |
| 2026 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
| 2027 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.29 |
| 2028 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.28 |
| 2029 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.27 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Pine Grove | ALABAMA | 4 | 2024 |
| Woodville | ALABAMA | 4 | 2018 |
| Eldred | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2015 |
| Drehersville 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Greensport | ALABAMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Linwood | GEORGIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Gesling | KENTUCKY | 3 | 1973 |
| Campton | KENTUCKY | 3 | 1982 |
| Kemah Lake | NEW-JERSEY | 3 | 2024 |
| Hop Bottom | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2015 |
| Honesdale | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Parkwood | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Brunnerville | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2007 |
| Schaefferstown 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 2018 |
| Corryton Rd | TENNESSEE | 3 | 2019 |
| Fayetteville | WEST-VIRGINIA | 3 | 1995 |
| Yellow Spg | WEST-VIRGINIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Dearmanville | ALABAMA | 2 | 1983 |
| Smyer Lake | ALABAMA | 2 | 2021 |
| Mt Olive | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Guntersville | ALABAMA | 2 | 2016 |
| Childersburg | ALABAMA | 2 | 1998 |
| Youngtown | ALABAMA | 2 | 2016 |
| Lakeview | ALABAMA | 2 | 2016 |
| Stevenson | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.