Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Loon Population Trend in Vermont
Common Loon in Vermont has surged: up 316% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
+316%Since 1978
10Routes In State
30Years
Notable Common Loon Trends in Vermont
long arc increasecomputed index
Common Loon has surged in Vermont: up 316% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Common Loon Population Forecast in Vermont
If the recent trend holds, Common Loon in Vermont is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.07–0.30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-33%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.3095% range
±38.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| 2026 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| 2028 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.30 |
| 2029 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.30 |
Common Loon Survey Routes in Vermont
| St Johnsbury | 2 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Hardwick | 2 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Stratton | 1 | 2010 | 2006 |
| Post Mills | 1 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Middlesex | 1 | 2023 | 2019 |
| East Calais | 1 | 2022 | 2018 |
| Greensboro | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Fletcher | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Newbury 2 | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Grand Isle | 1 | 2024 | 1969 |
Common Loon Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.