Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Clapper Rail Population Trend in North Carolina
Clapper Rail in North Carolina has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-47%Since 1970
7Routes In State
52Years
Notable Clapper Rail Trends in North Carolina
No notable trend signals for Clapper Rail in North Carolina. See the full index history below.
Clapper Rail Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Clapper Rail in North Carolina is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.00–0.32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+12%Change by 2029
0.10Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3295% range
±69.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 2026 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 2027 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 2028 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| 2029 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
Clapper Rail Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Merrimon | 3 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Myrtle Grove | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Supply | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Shallotte | 1 | 1991 | 1990 |
| Jarvisburg 2 | 1 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Newport | 1 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Milltail Cr | 1 | 1995 | 1993 |
Clapper Rail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.