Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Clapper Rail Population Trend in New Jersey
Clapper Rail in New Jersey has surged: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1981.
+186%Since 1981
3Routes In State
35Years
Notable Clapper Rail Trends in New Jersey
long arc increasecomputed index
Clapper Rail has surged in New Jersey: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1981.
Clapper Rail Population Forecast in New Jersey
If the recent trend holds, Clapper Rail in New Jersey is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.57 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+8%Change by 2029
0.57Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±34%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
Clapper Rail Survey Routes in New Jersey
| Ocean City | 11 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Six Points | 2 | 2019 | 1984 |
| Greenwich | 1 | 2001 | 1996 |
Clapper Rail Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.