Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Burrowing Owl Population Trend in California
Burrowing Owl in California has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-85%Since 1970
64Routes In State
56Years
Notable Burrowing Owl Trends in California
long arc declinecomputed index
Burrowing Owl has collapsed in California: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Burrowing Owl Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Burrowing Owl in California is projected to rise about 140% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.00–0.92). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±267%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+140%Change by 2029
0.28Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9295% range
±267%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2027 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.94 |
| 2028 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.93 |
| 2029 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.92 |
Burrowing Owl Survey Routes in California
| Brawley | 29 | 2012 | 1971 |
| Alamo River | 24 | 2018 | 1973 |
| Mesa Grande | 16 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Oilfields | 15 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Tranquillity | 15 | 2004 | 1972 |
| Niland | 11 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Buena Vista | 7 | 2019 | 1990 |
| Hollister | 6 | 2007 | 1976 |
| Atwater | 5 | 2007 | 1972 |
| Caruthers | 4 | 1986 | 1978 |
| Bakersfield | 4 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Moreno | 4 | 2012 | 1968 |
| Ventucopa | 3 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Shafter | 3 | 1989 | 1971 |
| Arvin | 3 | 2016 | 1971 |
| San Ysidro | 3 | 1976 | 1973 |
| Hollister 2 | 3 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Riovista | 2 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Collegeville | 2 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Hughson | 2 | 1987 | 1981 |
| Goldstone | 2 | 2005 | 1987 |
| Palo Verde | 2 | 2022 | 1973 |
| Eureka Val | 2 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Lenwood | 2 | 1984 | 1978 |
| Ravendale | 2 | 1992 | 1987 |
Burrowing Owl Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.