Guild · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Arid-land Birds In Oregon
5 species in this guild. As a group they are +10% since 1970.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for arid-land birds in Oregon. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Arid-land birds in Oregon is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 0.00–7.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.495% range
±15.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2026 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2027 | 2.9 | 0.00 | 7.6 |
| 2028 | 2.9 | 0.00 | 7.5 |
| 2029 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 7.4 |
Member Species In Oregon
| Sagebrush Sparrow | Passerellidae | -61% |
| California Towhee | Passerellidae | -45% |
| Sage Thrasher | Mimidae | +49% |
| Black-throated Sparrow | Passerellidae | +88% |
| Brewer's Sparrow | Passerellidae | +143% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.