Species · Montana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Violet-green Swallow Population Trend in Montana
Violet-green Swallow in Montana has risen sharply: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+69%Since 1970
56Routes In State
55Years
Notable Violet-green Swallow Trends in Montana
long arc increasecomputed index
Violet-green Swallow has risen sharply in Montana: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Violet-green Swallow Population Forecast in Montana
If the recent trend holds, Violet-green Swallow in Montana is projected to rise about 333% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.00–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±457.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+333%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.195% range
±457.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 4.0 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.1 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.1 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.1 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.1 |
Violet-green Swallow Survey Routes in Montana
| Willow Creek 2 | 21 | 2018 | 1987 |
| St Xavier | 18 | 2010 | 2001 |
| Laurel | 9 | 2008 | 1972 |
| Sula | 8 | 2014 | 2013 |
| Lima | 8 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Pagil Gulch | 7 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Cleveland | 6 | 2005 | 2004 |
| Greenoagh 2 | 6 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Brunzell Slough | 6 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Great Falls | 5 | 1973 | 1972 |
| Maynard Coulee | 5 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Elevation Mt | 4 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Bull Mtn. | 4 | 2021 | 1999 |
| Jordan | 4 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Noxon | 4 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Logan Pass | 3 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Wolf Creek | 3 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Ninemile | 3 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Clyde Park | 3 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Hebgen Lake | 3 | 2022 | 2017 |
| Painted Rock | 3 | 2022 | 1992 |
| St Regis | 2 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Polson | 2 | 2009 | 1981 |
| Arlee | 2 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Woodman | 2 | 2023 | 1968 |
Violet-green Swallow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.