Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Summer Tanager In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Summer Tanager in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 736% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+736%Since 1968
144Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Summer Tanager has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 736% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Summer Tanager in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 0.97 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.83 (95% range 0.53–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.3%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-15%Change by 2029
0.83Projected 2029 index
0.53–1.195% range
±39.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.78 | 0.47 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.48 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.81 | 0.51 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.83 | 0.53 | 1.1 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| Filley | MISSOURI | 17 | 2024 |
| Huntsville | MISSOURI | 12 | 2024 |
| Union | MISSOURI | 11 | 1999 |
| Trading Post | KANSAS | 10 | 2024 |
| Belleview | ILLINOIS | 9 | 2024 |
| Wreford | KANSAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Ohio | MISSOURI | 7 | 2024 |
| Moselle | MISSOURI | 7 | 2024 |
| Grantville | KANSAS | 6 | 2022 |
| Bucyrus | KANSAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Milford | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
| Keetonville | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 2022 |
| Mascoutah Lk | ILLINOIS | 5 | 2024 |
| Kearney | MISSOURI | 5 | 2024 |
| Elmo | MISSOURI | 5 | 2023 |
| Gerald | MISSOURI | 5 | 2024 |
| St Morgan | ILLINOIS | 4 | 2022 |
| Dover | KANSAS | 4 | 2022 |
| Seneca | KANSAS | 4 | 2022 |
| Le Loup | KANSAS | 4 | 2021 |
| Olsburg | KANSAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Madison | MISSOURI | 4 | 2023 |
| Frazier | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Gildehouse | MISSOURI | 4 | 1989 |
| Weston | MISSOURI | 4 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.