Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sprague's Pipit Population Trend in North Dakota
Sprague's Pipit in North Dakota has collapsed: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-86%Since 1969
32Routes In State
57Years
Notable Sprague's Pipit Trends in North Dakota
long arc declinecomputed index
Sprague's Pipit has collapsed in North Dakota: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Sprague's Pipit Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Sprague's Pipit in North Dakota is projected to fall about 76% by 2029 — from 0.26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-76%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±33%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
Sprague's Pipit Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Dickinson | 5 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Wild Rose | 4 | 2013 | 1985 |
| Ft Yates | 3 | 2003 | 1988 |
| Roosevelt Pk | 3 | 2004 | 1982 |
| Carson | 2 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Buchanan | 2 | 1983 | 1982 |
| Dunn Center | 2 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Carpio | 2 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Tobacco | 2 | 2013 | 1968 |
| Douglas Crk | 2 | 2006 | 1987 |
| Edgeley | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Lake George | 1 | 2007 | 1979 |
| Danzig | 1 | 2001 | 1992 |
| Kempton | 1 | 1993 | 1980 |
| Horsehead Lk | 1 | 2010 | 1981 |
| Webster | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Regan | 1 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Loraine | 1 | 1992 | 1984 |
| Stanley | 1 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Denbigh | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Bowman | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Zap | 1 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Gorham | 1 | 2017 | 1998 |
| Cedar Creek | 1 | 2006 | 1986 |
| Golva | 1 | 2008 | 1996 |
Sprague's Pipit Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.