BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sedge Wren In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGrassland birds

Sedge Wren in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 588% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+588%Since 1969
96Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Sedge Wren has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 588% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Sedge Wren in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 93% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.2 (95% range 2.3–8.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±124.5%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+93%Change by 2029
5.2Projected 2029 index
2.3–8.095% range
±124.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.92.07.7
20264.92.17.8
20275.02.27.8
20285.12.37.9
20295.22.38.0

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Sedge Wren in Prairie Potholes.
LaneSOUTH-DAKOTA321999
Sheyenne LkNORTH-DAKOTA312024
Big StoneMINNESOTA292012
RoswellSOUTH-DAKOTA292014
TurtonSOUTH-DAKOTA252024
TracyMINNESOTA242024
Lake BronsonMINNESOTA192011
ErieMINNESOTA182017
ReganNORTH-DAKOTA172022
Horsehead LkNORTH-DAKOTA152024
WorthingtonMINNESOTA142024
GryglaMINNESOTA132017
White LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA112011
BadgerMINNESOTA102018
AppletonMINNESOTA82023
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA82024
KemptonNORTH-DAKOTA82017
NilesNORTH-DAKOTA82024
MontpelierNORTH-DAKOTA82024
TrippSOUTH-DAKOTA82019
RollaNORTH-DAKOTA72022
Bowesmont 2NORTH-DAKOTA72016
VolgaSOUTH-DAKOTA72019
VeblenSOUTH-DAKOTA72023
OkleeMINNESOTA62021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.