BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsAerial insectivores

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 563% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+563%Since 1970
48Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 563% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 0.87 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.69–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.69–1.595% range
±18.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.621.4
20261.00.631.5
20271.10.651.5
20281.10.671.5
20291.10.691.5

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods.
FarwellARKANSAS492018
DiamondMISSOURI252024
CentertonARKANSAS172024
AvocaARKANSAS122024
RussellARKANSAS102021
ColcordOKLAHOMA102022
ReedsMISSOURI82023
FultonARKANSAS72024
Ravenden SpringsARKANSAS52015
RupertARKANSAS42024
RichlandMISSOURI42015
BaronOKLAHOMA42022
ZionARKANSAS32024
YellvilleARKANSAS32022
HandleyMISSOURI32023
MincyMISSOURI32024
RudyARKANSAS22024
CassvilleMISSOURI22024
AkersMISSOURI22024
GraydonMISSOURI22024
HaydenMISSOURI22014
CentertownMISSOURI22013
WilliamsvillMISSOURI22021
HildaMISSOURI22024
SedaliaMISSOURI22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.