Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ruby-throated Hummingbird In Central Hardwoods
Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 168% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+168%Since 1968
164Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Ruby-throated Hummingbird has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 168% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 74% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 1.4–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+74%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
1.4–2.495% range
±38.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 2026 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Gatewood | KENTUCKY | 12 | 2019 |
| Farwell | ARKANSAS | 11 | 2018 |
| Royalton | ILLINOIS | 8 | 2024 |
| Indian Mound | TENNESSEE | 8 | 1991 |
| Pulaski | ILLINOIS | 7 | 2024 |
| Syracuse | MISSOURI | 7 | 2024 |
| Belknap | ILLINOIS | 6 | 2024 |
| Graydon | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
| Cave In Rock | ILLINOIS | 5 | 2024 |
| Pleasurevill | KENTUCKY | 5 | 2022 |
| Woodlandville | MISSOURI | 5 | 2024 |
| Marshall | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2021 |
| Hegira | KENTUCKY | 4 | 2019 |
| Sweden | MISSOURI | 4 | 2021 |
| Cascade | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Barks | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Marshfield | MISSOURI | 4 | 2022 |
| Eugene | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Richland | MISSOURI | 4 | 2021 |
| Tullahoma | TENNESSEE | 4 | 2015 |
| Avoca | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2023 |
| Beaverdam Lk | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2022 |
| Spencer | INDIANA | 3 | 2019 |
| Clear Spring | INDIANA | 3 | 2022 |
| Merrimac | KENTUCKY | 3 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.