BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rose-breasted Grosbeak In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 109% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+109%Since 1969
81Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Rose-breasted Grosbeak has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 109% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.92 (95% range 0.43–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029
0.92Projected 2029 index
0.43–1.495% range
±9.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.910.421.4
20260.910.431.4
20270.920.431.4
20280.920.431.4
20290.920.431.4

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes.
EmeradoNORTH-DAKOTA112024
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA112024
PantherIOWA102024
MccallsburgIOWA92024
OkleeMINNESOTA92021
Lake BronsonMINNESOTA72011
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA62024
WylieMINNESOTA42023
FranklinMINNESOTA42019
NashNORTH-DAKOTA42016
TracyMINNESOTA32024
TildenNEBRASKA32024
TurtonSOUTH-DAKOTA32010
KanawhaIOWA22016
ZearingIOWA21995
CourtlandMINNESOTA22024
GluekMINNESOTA22017
TenneyMINNESOTA22016
BadgerMINNESOTA22018
FairmontMINNESOTA22023
LockhartMINNESOTA22022
Big StoneMINNESOTA22011
SpartaNEBRASKA22019
MidwayNEBRASKA22023
FormanNORTH-DAKOTA22021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.