Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Prairie Warbler In Central Hardwoods
Prairie Warbler in Central Hardwoods has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-33%Since 1968
151Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Prairie Warbler in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.93–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.93–2.395% range
±25.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 1.7 | 0.99 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.97 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.95 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.93 | 2.3 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Lebanon Junction | KENTUCKY | 20 | 2024 |
| Rome | OHIO | 19 | 2024 |
| Dixon | KENTUCKY | 13 | 2022 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 11 | 2024 |
| Apex | KENTUCKY | 9 | 2024 |
| Indian Mound 2 | TENNESSEE | 9 | 2023 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 8 | 2021 |
| Georgia | INDIANA | 7 | 2024 |
| Hegira | KENTUCKY | 7 | 2024 |
| Joy | KENTUCKY | 7 | 2023 |
| Hodgenville 2 | KENTUCKY | 7 | 2023 |
| Graniteville | MISSOURI | 7 | 2024 |
| Triana | ALABAMA | 6 | 2009 |
| Delwood | ILLINOIS | 6 | 2024 |
| Corydon | INDIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Glencoe | KENTUCKY | 6 | 2022 |
| Porter | KENTUCKY | 6 | 2024 |
| Bennett | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
| Rupert | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Belknap | ILLINOIS | 5 | 2024 |
| New Phila | INDIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| East Union | KENTUCKY | 5 | 2022 |
| Mammoth Cave | KENTUCKY | 5 | 2014 |
| Richland | MISSOURI | 5 | 2019 |
| Tullahoma | TENNESSEE | 5 | 2015 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.