BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Pine Siskin In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinForest birds

Pine Siskin in Great Basin has edged down: down 19% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-19%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
111Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pine Siskin in Great Basin. See the full index history below.

Pine Siskin In Great Basin Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Siskin in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.7 (95% range 0.00–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–3.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±63.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pine Siskin in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.7 (95% range 0.00–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.70.003.8
20271.70.003.8
20281.70.003.8
20291.70.003.7
20301.70.003.7

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Pine Siskin in Great Basin.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Blewett PassWASHINGTON552025
LeavenworthWASHINGTON452024
E. Mt. AdamsWASHINGTON272025
RimrockWASHINGTON232025
MazamaWASHINGTON232022
GlacierWASHINGTON212024
Magic MtnIDAHO202025
L. WenatcheeWASHINGTON202025
MacdoelCALIFORNIA192011
No CascadesWASHINGTON192019
BlyOREGON181994
Dell SpringOREGON151996
SistersOREGON152025
Lake ChelanWASHINGTON142025
NewhalemWASHINGTON102024
EllensburgWASHINGTON102025
Index 2WASHINGTON102023
Mt HoodOREGON92025
JarbidgeNEVADA82015
Gold HillUTAH82024
SnowdenWASHINGTON82025
Moses CouleeWASHINGTON81996
Medicine Mtn.CALIFORNIA72021
Blizzard GapOREGON61984
TwispWASHINGTON62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.