BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Siskin In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Pine Siskin in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 147% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+147%Since 1973
29Routes In Region
33Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Siskin has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 147% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Siskin in Prairie Potholes is projected to fall about 79% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±239.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-79%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2095% range
±239.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.070.000.20
20260.070.000.20
20270.070.000.20
20280.070.000.20
20290.070.000.20

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Pine Siskin in Prairie Potholes.
SunburstMONTANA131996
ChinookMONTANA82024
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA62024
OkleeMINNESOTA51991
ClevelandMONTANA42005
DenbighNORTH-DAKOTA32024
Danzig 2NORTH-DAKOTA32024
WylieMINNESOTA21993
BadgerMINNESOTA22000
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA21989
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA21982
BowesmontNORTH-DAKOTA21968
NashNORTH-DAKOTA21985
RollaNORTH-DAKOTA21996
CarpioNORTH-DAKOTA21998
LoraineNORTH-DAKOTA21990
AbercrombieNORTH-DAKOTA22009
MaynardMINNESOTA11996
GlyndonMINNESOTA12010
ErieMINNESOTA12009
Hay LakeMONTANA11994
Great FallsMONTANA11980
WalcottNORTH-DAKOTA12014
DanzigNORTH-DAKOTA11992
EmeradoNORTH-DAKOTA12008

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.