BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Osprey In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Osprey in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 406% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+406%Since 1968
72Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Osprey has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 406% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Osprey in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.2–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
2.2–4.095% range
±32.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.92.03.8
20263.02.13.9
20273.02.13.9
20283.02.23.9
20293.12.24.0

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Osprey in Peninsular Florida.
ScottsmoorFLORIDA412024
Winter GardnFLORIDA312019
Vero BeachFLORIDA162022
Weaver StnFLORIDA122019
Punta GordaFLORIDA92015
SandyFLORIDA82015
ShawanoFLORIDA72002
Merritt IslFLORIDA72011
ChildsFLORIDA62022
Citrus ParkFLORIDA52024
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA52024
Wildernes PkFLORIDA52014
Plantation KFLORIDA42004
ArbuckleFLORIDA42021
Lake BuffumFLORIDA42024
Ridge HarborFLORIDA42024
San AntonioFLORIDA32024
MabelFLORIDA32011
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA32024
Key LargoFLORIDA31991
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA32021
Shawano 2FLORIDA32011
BelmoreFLORIDA22024
IndiantownFLORIDA22017
TamiamiFLORIDA21974

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.