BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Mockingbird In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Northern Mockingbird in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-71%Since 1968
81Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Mockingbird has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 69% by 2029 — from 21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.4 (95% range 0.00–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-69%Change by 2029
6.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–2095% range
±27.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025110.0025
20269.90.0024
20278.80.0023
20287.60.0022
20296.40.0020

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Northern Mockingbird in Peninsular Florida.
AlturasFLORIDA1411986
St LucieFLORIDA1192024
Dale MabryFLORIDA1141988
BrowardFLORIDA971973
GardnerFLORIDA951999
KendallFLORIDA931991
Boca RatonFLORIDA851994
RedlandsFLORIDA852024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA762024
Ridge HarborFLORIDA702024
MabelFLORIDA692011
KissimmeeFLORIDA692024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA592011
SalvistaFLORIDA521979
Pleasant GrFLORIDA512009
DavieFLORIDA462017
RomeoFLORIDA382024
ChildsFLORIDA382022
Punta GordaFLORIDA382015
Sunniland GrFLORIDA372021
FlemingtonFLORIDA371999
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA352024
Citrus ParkFLORIDA292024
WebbFLORIDA282024
SebastianFLORIDA271992

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.