BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Northern Rockies

All regionsNorthern RockiesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-39%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
207Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Northern Rockies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 63% by 2029 — from 9.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 0.00–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-63%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–8.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 63% by 2029 — from 9.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 0.00–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.20.009.4
20264.00.009.2
20273.80.009.0
20283.60.008.8
20293.40.008.6

Routes In Northern Rockies

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Green RiverWYOMING931984
Bear CreekWYOMING892024
LayCOLORADO702024
WorlandWYOMING522024
Black Rock 2WYOMING512024
Great DivideCOLORADO502024
MaybellCOLORADO452024
LaurelMONTANA432022
Carter 2WYOMING422024
Clover CreekOREGON402024
Seedskadee 2WYOMING382024
MidvaleWYOMING352024
FrannieWYOMING352024
E. Bear LakeUTAH332022
EtheteWYOMING322024
TwickenhamOREGON302024
BridgeportOREGON292022
DonnybrookOREGON291997
LaurierWASHINGTON282022
Willow CreekMONTANA261981
MonumentOREGON252024
HarmonyWYOMING232023
Browns ParkCOLORADO222024
Deer ParkWASHINGTON222015
Twin BridgesMONTANA211976

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.