BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Northern Rockies

All regionsNorthern RockiesGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies has declined: down 41% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-41%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
208Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Northern Rockies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 56% by 2030 — from 7.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.00–8.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-56%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–8.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 56% by 2030 — from 7.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 0.00–8.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.20.009.5
20274.10.009.3
20283.90.009.1
20293.70.008.9
20303.50.008.7

Routes In Northern Rockies

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Northern Rockies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Green RiverWYOMING931984
LayCOLORADO522025
BridgeportOREGON492025
Great DivideCOLORADO462025
LovellWYOMING442025
Church HillMONTANA432025
WorlandWYOMING432025
Browns ParkCOLORADO422025
TwickenhamOREGON412025
Seedskadee 2WYOMING382024
MaybellCOLORADO352025
MidvaleWYOMING332025
FrannieWYOMING322025
BoulderMONTANA312025
SpartaOREGON292025
DonnybrookOREGON291997
Willow CreekMONTANA261981
EtheteWYOMING262025
MadrasOREGON242025
GeboWYOMING232025
Clover CreekOREGON222025
Deer ParkWASHINGTON222015
Twin BridgesMONTANA211976
Clyde ParkMONTANA212025
ArmintoWYOMING212025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.