Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

LeConte's Sparrow Population Trend in North Dakota

LeConte's Sparrow in North Dakota has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-78%Since 1970
35Routes In State
53Years

Notable LeConte's Sparrow Trends in North Dakota

long arc declinecomputed index

LeConte's Sparrow has collapsed in North Dakota: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

LeConte's Sparrow Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, LeConte's Sparrow in North Dakota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.73 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2035.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.73Projected 2029 index
0.002.095% range
±2035.5%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.720.002.0
20260.720.002.0
20270.730.002.0
20280.730.002.0
20290.730.002.0

LeConte's Sparrow Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording LeConte's Sparrow in North Dakota.
Abercrombie 2520182017
Emerado320091983
Cooperstown320131970
Ft Yates319991996
Kempton220101982
Bowesmont220101969
Lakota220091981
Niles220121992
Bentley220001999
Parshall220101994
Douglas Crk219951995
Carson120012001
Walcott120072000
Edgeley120192010
Lake George120221998
Danzig120052001
Horsehead Lk120211988
Buchanan120231976
Nash119991995
Webster120111995
Rolla120132007
Regan120211995
Dunn Center120131984
Carpio119961994
Loraine120181984

LeConte's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.