BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

LeConte's Sparrow Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesGeneralists

LeConte's Sparrow in Minnesota has surged: up 170% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+170%Since 1969
40Routes In State
56Years

Notable LeConte's Sparrow Trends in Minnesota

long arc increasecomputed index

LeConte's Sparrow has surged in Minnesota: up 170% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

LeConte's Sparrow Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, LeConte's Sparrow in Minnesota is projected to rise about 390% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.80 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±452.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+390%Change by 2029
0.80Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±452.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.780.001.7
20260.780.001.7
20270.790.001.7
20280.800.001.7
20290.800.001.7

LeConte's Sparrow Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording LeConte's Sparrow in Minnesota.
Grygla720171976
Lake Bronson720111979
Erie620171976
Pine River420031990
Wylie420111984
Badger420181998
Big Stone320082008
Greenbush320241994
Backus220001972
Edwards220022002
Floodwood220001967
Little Fork220241969
Nett Lake220242013
Nebish120191989
Appleton119961996
Cromwell120221977
Wigwam Bay119811981
Mille Lacs120091997
Evergreen120091968
Glyndon120101993
Tenney120112011
Lockport120042004
Hart Lake120112006
Island Lake120171974
Cohasset120212012

LeConte's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

michiganmontananorth-dakotasouth-dakotawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.