Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
LeConte's Sparrow Population Trend in Michigan
LeConte's Sparrow in Michigan has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-64%Since 1971
9Routes In State
30Years
Notable LeConte's Sparrow Trends in Michigan
long arc declinecomputed index
LeConte's Sparrow has fallen sharply in Michigan: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
LeConte's Sparrow Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, LeConte's Sparrow in Michigan is projected to fall about 27% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-27%Change by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1695% range
±21.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2026 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2027 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2029 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
LeConte's Sparrow Survey Routes in Michigan
| Pickford | 3 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Bootjack | 2 | 1971 | 1968 |
| Seney Nwr | 2 | 2016 | 1992 |
| Ontonagon | 1 | 2019 | 2012 |
| Herman | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Crystal Fls | 1 | 2010 | 2009 |
| Pine River | 1 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Maple Grove | 1 | 2013 | 1990 |
| Gilchrist | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
LeConte's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.