Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Herring Gull Population Trend in Minnesota
Herring Gull in Minnesota has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-54%Since 1971
17Routes In State
51Years
Notable Herring Gull Trends in Minnesota
long arc declinecomputed index
Herring Gull has fallen sharply in Minnesota: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Herring Gull Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Herring Gull in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.71). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±120.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7195% range
±120.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
Herring Gull Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Nebish | 5 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Island Lake | 2 | 2016 | 1975 |
| Little Fork | 2 | 1995 | 1969 |
| Waskish | 2 | 2003 | 1978 |
| Evergreen | 2 | 1984 | 1984 |
| Lockport | 1 | 2002 | 1974 |
| Sawbill Lndg | 1 | 1994 | 1978 |
| Hart Lake | 1 | 1997 | 1974 |
| Cohasset | 1 | 2005 | 1977 |
| Sherry Lake | 1 | 1986 | 1971 |
| Sawbill Camp | 1 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Babbitt | 1 | 1998 | 1994 |
| Crane Lake | 1 | 2015 | 1969 |
| Lude | 1 | 1984 | 1982 |
| Glendale | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Tyler | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Hovland | 1 | 2024 | 1973 |
Herring Gull Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.