Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Harris's Hawk Population Trend in Texas
Harris's Hawk in Texas has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-68%Since 1969
62Routes In State
57Years
Notable Harris's Hawk Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Harris's Hawk has fallen sharply in Texas: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Harris's Hawk Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Harris's Hawk in Texas is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.00–0.53). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5395% range
±13%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| 2026 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2027 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2028 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| 2029 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
Harris's Hawk Survey Routes in Texas
| Millett 2 | 13 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Agua Nueva | 11 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Zapata | 10 | 1987 | 1967 |
| Encinal 2 | 8 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Dilley | 8 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | 6 | 2017 | 2010 |
| Loyola Beach | 6 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Catarina 3 | 5 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Encinal | 4 | 2010 | 1969 |
| Sejita | 4 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Laredo | 4 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Millett | 4 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Pedro Creek | 4 | 2005 | 1996 |
| San Ygnacio | 3 | 1985 | 1967 |
| George West | 3 | 2018 | 1968 |
| Adamsville | 3 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Langtry | 3 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Wink | 3 | 1981 | 1978 |
| Lag Atascosa | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kingsville | 2 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Petronila | 2 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Mirando City | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| L. Atascosa Nwr | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Campbellton | 2 | 2019 | 1984 |
| Catarina | 2 | 2010 | 1970 |
Harris's Hawk Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.