BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hairy Woodpecker In BCR 4

All regionsBCR 4Forest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in BCR 4 has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

-69%Since 1983
44Routes In Region
40Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Hairy Woodpecker has fallen sharply in BCR 4: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in BCR 4 is projected to rise about 96% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.00–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+96%Change by 2029
0.16Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4895% range
±45.2%Backtest error
19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.170.000.50
20260.170.000.49
20270.170.000.49
20280.170.000.49
20290.160.000.48

Routes In BCR 4

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in BCR 4.
WillowALASKA52019
L SalchaALASKA42014
Unalakleet RiverALASKA42022
LivengoodALASKA22021
Tower BluffsALASKA22017
Goose BayALASKA21975
Skilak LakeALASKA21983
HomerALASKA21982
Kenny LakeALASKA22021
ChickenALASKA22019
Anchor RiverALASKA22003
Chena Hot Spring 2ALASKA22023
Galena (Short)ALASKA22022
KuskulanaALASKA22021
Mccarthy Rd2ALASKA22024
Chatanika RALASKA12015
Birch LakeALASKA12008
SlanaALASKA12017
ChistochinaALASKA11999
KalifonskyALASKA12023
Chena RiverALASKA11988
SourdoughALASKA12021
TonsinaALASKA12017
SavageALASKA12022
Hatcher PassALASKA12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.