BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Green-tailed Towhee Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Green-tailed Towhee in Arizona has surged: up 503% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

+503%Since 1988
13Routes In State
27Years

Notable Green-tailed Towhee Trends in Arizona

long arc increasecomputed index

Green-tailed Towhee has surged in Arizona: up 503% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

Green-tailed Towhee Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Green-tailed Towhee in Arizona is projected to fall about 49% by 2028 — from 0.55 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.07–0.49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-49%Change by 2028
0.28Projected 2028 index
0.07–0.4995% range
±37.8%Backtest error
19782028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.260.040.47
20250.260.050.47
20260.270.060.48
20270.270.060.48
20280.280.070.49

Green-tailed Towhee Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Green-tailed Towhee in Arizona.
Alpine1320231992
Tsaile920231993
Seligman420132008
Sprucedale220212021
Happy Jack220022002
Cow Springs220182018
Sunizona119971988
House Rock120191993
Flagstaff120221994
Sawmill120062006
Peach Spring120102010
Blue119861978
Maine120141997

Green-tailed Towhee Population Trend in Other States

californiacoloradoidahomontananevadanew-mexicooregontexasutahwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.