BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Greater Roadrunner In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsArid-land birds

Greater Roadrunner in Central Hardwoods has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+19%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
22Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
39YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Greater Roadrunner in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Greater Roadrunner In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Greater Roadrunner in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±96.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.06Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±96.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Greater Roadrunner in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±96.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.060.000.12
20260.060.000.12
20270.060.000.12
20280.060.000.12
20290.060.000.12

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Greater Roadrunner in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FultonARKANSAS22024
FarwellARKANSAS22018
RussellARKANSAS22017
BaronOKLAHOMA22014
RupertARKANSAS12024
LurtonARKANSAS11976
ZionARKANSAS12016
ComptonARKANSAS11975
YellvilleARKANSAS12010
Ravenden SpringsARKANSAS12010
MarshallARKANSAS12018
RudyARKANSAS12024
SwedenMISSOURI12016
CassvilleMISSOURI11974
PinevilleMISSOURI12021
ReedsMISSOURI12018
HildaMISSOURI12017
MarshfieldMISSOURI12022
MincyMISSOURI12019
West PlainsMISSOURI12015
Rueter 2MISSOURI12023
ColcordOKLAHOMA12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.