BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has risen sharply: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+65%Since 1968
273Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Crested Flycatcher has risen sharply in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 64% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.2 (95% range 2.4–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2029
3.2Projected 2029 index
2.4–4.095% range
±18.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.12.33.9
20263.22.44.0
20273.22.44.0
20283.22.44.0
20293.22.44.0

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
LucerneMISSOURI252021
ReeceKANSAS202024
BelleviewILLINOIS182024
DoverKANSAS172022
GrantvilleKANSAS172022
WrefordKANSAS162024
SenecaKANSAS132022
McfallMISSOURI132024
EubanksILLINOIS122024
WashtaIOWA122014
EllinorKANSAS122024
Le LoupKANSAS122021
LincolnvilleKANSAS122024
FilleyMISSOURI122024
RockinghamMISSOURI122024
GildehouseMISSOURI111989
Mascoutah LkILLINOIS102024
PaysonILLINOIS102024
Rock CreekKANSAS102021
Ash RidgeOHIO102021
Mt HamillIOWA92024
AliceIOWA91999
SeveranceKANSAS92024
MarshallILLINOIS82024
FriendswoodINDIANA82024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.