Species · Rhode Island · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Black-backed Gull Population Trend in Rhode Island
Great Black-backed Gull in Rhode Island has surged: up 324% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+324%Since 1971
3Routes In State
33Years
Notable Great Black-backed Gull Trends in Rhode Island
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Black-backed Gull has surged in Rhode Island: up 324% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Great Black-backed Gull Population Forecast in Rhode Island
If the recent trend holds, Great Black-backed Gull in Rhode Island is projected to rise about 181× by 2028 — from 0.50 in 2023 to a central estimate of 91 (95% range 27–154). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3730.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
181×Change by 2028
91Projected 2028 index
27–15495% range
±3730.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 84 | 21 | 147 |
| 2025 | 85 | 22 | 149 |
| 2026 | 87 | 24 | 150 |
| 2027 | 89 | 26 | 152 |
| 2028 | 91 | 27 | 154 |
Great Black-backed Gull Survey Routes in Rhode Island
| Block Island | 83 | 2010 | 1990 |
| Sachuest Pt | 23 | 1989 | 1967 |
| Shannock | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
Great Black-backed Gull Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.