Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Black-backed Gull Population Trend in Connecticut
Great Black-backed Gull in Connecticut has held roughly steady: up 7% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
+7%Since 1976
3Routes In State
25Years
Notable Great Black-backed Gull Trends in Connecticut
No notable trend signals for Great Black-backed Gull in Connecticut. See the full index history below.
Great Black-backed Gull Population Forecast in Connecticut
If the recent trend holds, Great Black-backed Gull in Connecticut is projected to rise about 20% by 2028 — from 0.18 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±237%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+20%Change by 2028
0.22Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.4995% range
±237%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| 2025 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| 2026 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| 2027 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| 2028 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
Great Black-backed Gull Survey Routes in Connecticut
| Mystic | 2 | 2023 | 1973 |
| Westbrook | 1 | 1994 | 1986 |
| Mid Haddam | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
Great Black-backed Gull Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.