BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Golden Eagle Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesBirds of prey

Golden Eagle in Nebraska has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

-77%Since 1981TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
10Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
25YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Golden Eagle Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Golden Eagle has collapsed in Nebraska: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

Golden Eagle Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Golden Eagle in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±26.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Golden Eagle in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19732030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.020.000.07
20270.020.000.07
20280.020.000.07
20290.020.000.07
20300.010.000.07

Golden Eagle Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Golden Eagle in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Crescent Lk220091980
Gordon120252012
Agate 2120072005
Oglala Nat. Grass.120231999
Murray Lake120061993
Crawford120002000
Crookston120242024
Dalton119821973
Piester Lake119831973
Agate119881988

Golden Eagle Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.