Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Franklin's Gull Population Trend in Utah
Franklin's Gull in Utah has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-63%Since 1972
13Routes In State
36Years
Notable Franklin's Gull Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Franklin's Gull has fallen sharply in Utah: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Franklin's Gull Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Franklin's Gull in Utah is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±786.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1795% range
±786.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17 |
Franklin's Gull Survey Routes in Utah
| Promontory | 741 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Bear River | 304 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Delta | 43 | 2004 | 1997 |
| Saleratus Cr | 39 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Johnson Can | 30 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Kamas | 3 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Lost Cr. Res | 2 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Crawford Mts | 2 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Neponset Res | 1 | 2003 | 2001 |
| Woodruff | 1 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Snowville | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Randolph | 1 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Callao | 1 | 2024 | 2006 |
Franklin's Gull Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.