Species · Idaho · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Forster's Tern Population Trend in Idaho

Forster's Tern in Idaho has collapsed: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

-89%Since 1977
14Routes In State
27Years

Notable Forster's Tern Trends in Idaho

long arc declinecomputed index

Forster's Tern has collapsed in Idaho: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Forster's Tern Population Forecast in Idaho

If the recent trend holds, Forster's Tern in Idaho is projected to stay roughly flat through 2020, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±464.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2020
0.00Projected 2020 index
0.000.5795% range
±464.4%Backtest error
19682020
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20160.000.000.57
20170.000.000.57
20180.000.000.57
20190.000.000.57
20200.000.000.57

Forster's Tern Survey Routes in Idaho

Routes recording Forster's Tern in Idaho.
Glenns Ferry1019681968
Preston920041990
Triangle520142003
Cedar Hill420142002
Pasadena Val220121987
Picabo220152015
Blackft Res120031985
Tractor Flat120071990
Centerville120112011
Crane Creek119891989
Springfield120071977
Iron Springs119961996
Featherville120101989
Henry119791973

Forster's Tern Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.