BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 2001.

19×Since 2001TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
88Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
25YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eurasian Collared-Dove has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 2001.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 0.88 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 1.0–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+49%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.3Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.0–1.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±39.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 0.88 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 1.0–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19992029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.10.861.4
20261.20.911.5
20271.20.951.5
20281.30.991.6
20291.31.01.6

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FarwellARKANSAS232018
PleasurevillKENTUCKY152024
Cave In RockILLINOIS112018
KeysburgKENTUCKY72024
HandleyMISSOURI72023
GraydonMISSOURI62017
ReedsMISSOURI62023
Ravenden SpringsARKANSAS52015
CyprssINDIANA52011
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY52024
HustonvilleKENTUCKY52024
PlumKENTUCKY52024
CassvilleMISSOURI52024
Union HillTENNESSEE52024
GlenTENNESSEE52024
Carter GroveALABAMA42019
EastviewKENTUCKY42024
PulaskiMISSOURI42024
BarksMISSOURI42024
RichlandMISSOURI42021
RueterMISSOURI42022
BaronOKLAHOMA42018
ColcordOKLAHOMA42022
Belotes BendTENNESSEE42018
TullahomaTENNESSEE42005

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.