BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 2001.

21×Since 2001TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
90Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
26YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Eurasian Collared-Dove In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 14% by 2030 — from 1.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 1.1–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.1–1.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±35.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 14% by 2030 — from 1.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 1.1–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19992030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.20.921.5
20271.20.961.5
20281.31.01.6
20291.31.11.6
20301.41.11.6

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Eurasian Collared-Dove in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
FarwellARKANSAS232018
PleasurevillKENTUCKY172025
HandleyMISSOURI142025
Cave In RockILLINOIS112018
KeysburgKENTUCKY102025
RichlandMISSOURI62025
Ravenden SpringsARKANSAS52015
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY52024
PlumKENTUCKY52024
MillerMISSOURI52025
Union HillTENNESSEE52024
Carter GroveALABAMA42019
PulaskiMISSOURI42025
PinevilleMISSOURI42025
EugeneMISSOURI42025
RueterMISSOURI42022
BaronOKLAHOMA42018
ColcordOKLAHOMA42022
Belotes BendTENNESSEE42018
TullahomaTENNESSEE42005
CentertonARKANSAS32011
RussellARKANSAS32021
BrownvilleILLINOIS32025
CyprssINDIANA32025
EastviewKENTUCKY32025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.