Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Towhee In Central Hardwoods
Eastern Towhee in Central Hardwoods has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-53%Since 1968
163Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in Central Hardwoods: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.1 (95% range 3.7–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+1%Change by 2029
6.1Projected 2029 index
3.7–8.695% range
±9.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 8.9 |
| 2026 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 8.8 |
| 2027 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 8.7 |
| 2028 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 8.6 |
| 2029 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 8.6 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Swaim | ALABAMA | 31 | 2024 |
| Rome | OHIO | 25 | 2024 |
| Bradyville | TENNESSEE | 25 | 2021 |
| Georgia | INDIANA | 23 | 2024 |
| Indian Mound | TENNESSEE | 23 | 1998 |
| Triana | ALABAMA | 22 | 2012 |
| Wheeler Dam | ALABAMA | 21 | 2023 |
| Royalton | ILLINOIS | 20 | 2024 |
| Tullahoma | TENNESSEE | 18 | 2015 |
| Carter Grove | ALABAMA | 17 | 2023 |
| York | ILLINOIS | 17 | 2024 |
| Indian Spgs | INDIANA | 17 | 2024 |
| Mammoth Cave | KENTUCKY | 17 | 2014 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 17 | 2024 |
| Peytonsville | TENNESSEE | 17 | 2024 |
| New Phila | INDIANA | 15 | 2024 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 15 | 2021 |
| Silver Pt | TENNESSEE | 15 | 2024 |
| Elkmont | ALABAMA | 14 | 2024 |
| Belmont | INDIANA | 14 | 2024 |
| Ironton | MISSOURI | 14 | 1980 |
| Delwood | ILLINOIS | 13 | 2024 |
| Spencer | INDIANA | 13 | 2024 |
| Porter | KENTUCKY | 13 | 2024 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | ALABAMA | 12 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.