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Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition has increased: up 41% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+41%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
151Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–3.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.92.03.7
20262.92.03.7
20272.92.03.8
20282.92.13.8
20292.92.13.8

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA372024
HatfieldWISCONSIN351998
MatherWISCONSIN242023
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN182012
MontereyMICHIGAN172024
GilmantonWISCONSIN162024
SaxevilleWISCONSIN152024
CadottWISCONSIN142024
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN122019
BravoMICHIGAN102023
CohoctahMICHIGAN92024
AlmenaMICHIGAN92015
Caledonia 2MINNESOTA92024
Pigeon CreekWISCONSIN82024
MerideanWISCONSIN82024
LawrenceMICHIGAN72024
WaldenburgMICHIGAN72000
Barry S.G.A. 2MICHIGAN72019
EsdaileWISCONSIN72024
ViroquaWISCONSIN72023
PardeevilleWISCONSIN72024
KnoxINDIANA62024
RemusMICHIGAN62024
No BradleyMICHIGAN62024
OwendaleMICHIGAN52017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.