BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Towhee In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition has increased: up 32% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+32%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
151Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 11% by 2030 — from 2.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–3.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±6.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 11% by 2030 — from 2.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 2.1–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.92.03.7
20272.92.03.7
20282.92.03.8
20292.92.13.8
20302.92.13.8

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HatfieldWISCONSIN351998
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA332025
MatherWISCONSIN242023
ScottvilleMICHIGAN182025
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN182012
Caledonia 2MINNESOTA172025
Pigeon CreekWISCONSIN132025
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN122019
RemusMICHIGAN112025
MerideanWISCONSIN112025
BravoMICHIGAN102023
MontereyMICHIGAN102025
CadottWISCONSIN102025
Indiana DuneINDIANA92025
AlmenaMICHIGAN92015
GilmantonWISCONSIN92025
N FreedomWISCONSIN92025
WaldenburgMICHIGAN72000
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN72025
Barry S.G.A. 2MICHIGAN72019
ViroquaWISCONSIN72023
EsdaileWISCONSIN62025
CochraneWISCONSIN62025
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN52025
OwendaleMICHIGAN52017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.