BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Screech-Owl In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Eastern Screech-Owl in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has declined: down 31% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-31%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
56Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
39YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Screech-Owl in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Eastern Screech-Owl In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±42.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Screech-Owl in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.010.000.03
20260.010.000.03
20270.010.000.03
20280.010.000.03
20290.010.000.03

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Eastern Screech-Owl in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HolcombILLINOIS51996
StetMISSOURI31981
EssexILLINOIS21974
ChandlervillILLINOIS21976
MelroseILLINOIS21987
ConcordILLINOIS21978
MiddletownINDIANA21978
ShelbyvilleINDIANA21983
WilliamsburgIOWA21974
GeneseoILLINOIS11983
NewarkILLINOIS11976
MinonkILLINOIS11978
FairburyILLINOIS11977
MilfordILLINOIS11978
Bluff SpgsILLINOIS11981
BelleviewILLINOIS12024
PawneeILLINOIS11989
FairlandILLINOIS11971
BradburyILLINOIS12010
MartinsvilleILLINOIS12000
ColumbiaILLINOIS12022
EldredILLINOIS12010
YaleILLINOIS12024
ClaytonILLINOIS12024
HebronINDIANA11997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.