BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+163%Since 1968
272Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 2.1–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029
3.0Projected 2029 index
2.1–3.995% range
±38.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.82.03.7
20262.92.03.8
20272.92.03.8
20283.02.13.9
20293.02.13.9

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
GeraldMISSOURI202024
MoselleMISSOURI132024
FilleyMISSOURI122024
Ash RidgeOHIO122021
RobinsonILLINOIS102023
WrefordKANSAS102024
EmdenMISSOURI102024
House SpringsMISSOURI102024
UnionMISSOURI101999
SextonINDIANA92023
ReeceKANSAS92024
Sni MillsMISSOURI91990
BelleviewILLINOIS82024
Mt VernonILLINOIS82024
BedfordIOWA82018
EllinorKANSAS82024
LincolnvilleKANSAS82024
MillwoodMISSOURI82024
Terre HauteILLINOIS72024
MoreheadKANSAS72024
Trading PostKANSAS72024
Le LoupKANSAS72021
DanvilleMISSOURI72024
OhioMISSOURI72024
FrazierMISSOURI72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.