BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Crested Caracara In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Crested Caracara in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

13×Since 1969
45Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Crested Caracara has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Crested Caracara in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 48% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.83–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+48%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.83–2.895% range
±28.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.712.7
20261.70.742.7
20271.80.772.8
20281.80.802.8
20291.80.832.8

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Crested Caracara in Oaks and Prairies.
BriteTEXAS112024
SchroederTEXAS51997
MuldoonTEXAS52024
BonnerTEXAS52022
Lone OakTEXAS42022
Miller GroveTEXAS42014
HearneTEXAS42023
Mount ZionTEXAS42024
ComancheTEXAS42024
Arenosa CrkTEXAS32024
OlaTEXAS32024
SeldenTEXAS32024
Thornton 3TEXAS32024
Three RiversTEXAS32024
PaigeTEXAS32024
CampbelltonTEXAS22024
LockhartTEXAS22024
OsageTEXAS22021
WeatherfordTEXAS22023
Oak Grove 2TEXAS22024
FanninTEXAS22023
HobsonTEXAS12024
Massey LakeTEXAS12024
KosseTEXAS12017
ThorntonTEXAS11977

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.