Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Merganser Population Trend in Washington
Common Merganser in Washington has held roughly steady: down 3% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-3%Since 1971
53Routes In State
55Years
Notable Common Merganser Trends in Washington
No notable trend signals for Common Merganser in Washington. See the full index history below.
Common Merganser Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Common Merganser in Washington is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.03–0.92). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+23%Change by 2029
0.48Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.9295% range
±19.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.91 |
| 2026 | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.91 |
| 2027 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.92 |
| 2028 | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.92 |
| 2029 | 0.48 | 0.03 | 0.92 |
Common Merganser Survey Routes in Washington
| Deception | 84 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Warm Beach | 8 | 2005 | 1970 |
| Rimrock | 8 | 2023 | 1980 |
| No Cascades | 6 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Nighthawk | 6 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Newhalem | 5 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Taholah | 5 | 2022 | 1978 |
| Sullivan Lk | 5 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Brewster | 4 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Leavenworth | 4 | 1990 | 1984 |
| South Elma | 4 | 2017 | 1986 |
| Sullivan Lake 2 | 3 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Spring Lake | 3 | 2021 | 2018 |
| Hurricane Rg | 3 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Yakima | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Twisp | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Bunker Hill | 2 | 1998 | 1985 |
| Ronald | 2 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Ilwaco | 2 | 1996 | 1995 |
| White Chuck | 2 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Horn Rapids | 2 | 2019 | 2008 |
| Mt St Helens | 2 | 2002 | 1994 |
| Laurier | 2 | 2018 | 1999 |
| Rainier | 2 | 2004 | 1996 |
| Ozette | 1 | 2024 | 1974 |
Common Merganser Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.