BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Oaks and Prairies has edged down: down 13% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-13%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Ground Dove in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 402% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±420.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+402%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–3.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±420.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 402% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±420.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.30.002.9
20261.30.002.9
20271.40.002.9
20281.40.003.0
20291.40.003.0

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
SchroederTEXAS91997
Three RiversTEXAS62024
CampbelltonTEXAS42024
FanninTEXAS42023
LockhartTEXAS32021
OakwoodTEXAS31986
BriteTEXAS32024
HobsonTEXAS22018
Arenosa CrkTEXAS22014
MuldoonTEXAS21986
YoakumTEXAS22022
Lone OakTEXAS12014
Peach CreekTEXAS11973
OsageTEXAS12014
AlbanyTEXAS12016
OlneyTEXAS12017
WalburgTEXAS12009
Mount ZionTEXAS11995
CreedmoreTEXAS12010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.