BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chuck-will's-widow In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieAerial insectivores

Chuck-will's-widow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-88%Since 1969
33Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Chuck-will's-widow has collapsed in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0995% range
±54.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.10
20260.000.000.10
20270.000.000.09
20280.000.000.09
20290.000.000.09

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Chuck-will's-widow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
GrantvilleKANSAS41986
UnionMISSOURI41998
LaplandKANSAS22011
Rock CreekKANSAS22018
WarrenMISSOURI21980
DoverKANSAS12022
BarclayKANSAS12013
WrefordKANSAS12014
SenecaKANSAS12008
LongtonKANSAS12021
Rock Creek 2KANSAS12022
MoreheadKANSAS12000
ReeceKANSAS12024
Trading PostKANSAS12012
OlsburgKANSAS12018
FilleyMISSOURI12013
WashingtonMISSOURI11977
DanvilleMISSOURI12009
OhioMISSOURI11989
Sni MillsMISSOURI11982
RensselaerMISSOURI11993
RockinghamMISSOURI11992
GildehouseMISSOURI11989
FrankfordMISSOURI12024
CameronMISSOURI12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.