Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chihuahuan Raven Population Trend in Arizona
Chihuahuan Raven in Arizona has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-78%Since 1970
17Routes In State
55Years
Notable Chihuahuan Raven Trends in Arizona
long arc declinecomputed index
Chihuahuan Raven has collapsed in Arizona: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Chihuahuan Raven Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Chihuahuan Raven in Arizona is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.57 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±128.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.795% range
±128.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
Chihuahuan Raven Survey Routes in Arizona
| Mcneal | 16 | 2024 | 1992 |
| San Simon | 14 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Florence | 13 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Sunizona | 10 | 1997 | 1968 |
| Ajo | 8 | 1970 | 1970 |
| The Gap | 7 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Amado | 7 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Patagonia | 4 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Sunizona 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Peña Blanca | 4 | 2010 | 1980 |
| Portal | 2 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Dragoon | 2 | 2005 | 1993 |
| Rucker | 2 | 2009 | 1993 |
| Sahuarita | 2 | 2010 | 1994 |
| Cibola Lake | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Red Rock | 1 | 1999 | 1995 |
| Pomerene | 1 | 2022 | 1968 |
Chihuahuan Raven Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.