Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chihuahuan Meadowlark Population Trend in Arizona
Chihuahuan Meadowlark in Arizona has declined: down 43% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-43%Since 1970
30Routes In State
56Years
Notable Chihuahuan Meadowlark Trends in Arizona
No notable trend signals for Chihuahuan Meadowlark in Arizona. See the full index history below.
Chihuahuan Meadowlark Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Chihuahuan Meadowlark in Arizona is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.00–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-35%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.995% range
±35.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 0.00 | 5.1 |
| 2026 | 1.7 | 0.00 | 5.1 |
| 2027 | 1.7 | 0.00 | 5.0 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 5.0 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 4.9 |
Chihuahuan Meadowlark Survey Routes in Arizona
| Alpine | 49 | 2023 | 2002 |
| Rucker | 41 | 2009 | 1993 |
| Seligman | 28 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Mormon Lake | 22 | 1974 | 1969 |
| Dragoon | 15 | 2009 | 1993 |
| Patagonia | 13 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Peach Spring | 13 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Clay Spring | 11 | 2024 | 2003 |
| Forest Lakes | 8 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Yampai | 7 | 1973 | 1969 |
| Sunizona 2 | 7 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Sunizona | 5 | 1997 | 1968 |
| Sprucedale | 5 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Hunt | 4 | 2006 | 1976 |
| Rose Wells | 3 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Mcneal | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Prescott | 2 | 1998 | 1983 |
| Pomerene | 2 | 2009 | 1969 |
| Peña Blanca | 2 | 2000 | 1976 |
| Amado | 2 | 2007 | 1993 |
| The Gap | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Black Mesa | 1 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Portal | 1 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Oraibi | 1 | 2022 | 2018 |
| Blue | 1 | 1984 | 1976 |
Chihuahuan Meadowlark Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.