Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brewer's Blackbird Population Trend in Utah
Brewer's Blackbird in Utah has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-57%Since 1970
94Routes In State
56Years
Notable Brewer's Blackbird Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Brewer's Blackbird has fallen sharply in Utah: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Brewer's Blackbird Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Brewer's Blackbird in Utah is projected to fall about 78% by 2029 — from 6.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-78%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–2095% range
±46.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 22 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 21 |
| 2027 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 21 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 0.00 | 20 |
| 2029 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 20 |
Brewer's Blackbird Survey Routes in Utah
| Kamas | 123 | 2024 | 1997 |
| M Warner Res | 64 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Ant Flat-Ogden Can | 60 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Randolph | 57 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Alton 2 | 28 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Hardware Ranch | 22 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Dixie Nf | 21 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Bicknell | 20 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | 18 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Shivwitz | 16 | 2014 | 1994 |
| Crawford Mts | 16 | 2017 | 2002 |
| Altonah | 14 | 2015 | 1969 |
| Woodruff | 14 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Grouse Creek | 12 | 2010 | 1982 |
| Johnson Can | 12 | 2024 | 1987 |
| E. Bear Lake | 12 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Oak City | 11 | 2023 | 1972 |
| Goshen | 11 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Saleratus Cr | 11 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Wellington 3 | 10 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Wendover | 10 | 2011 | 1987 |
| Lost Cr. Res | 10 | 2018 | 1996 |
| Leamington | 9 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Newcastle | 9 | 2022 | 1997 |
| Neponset Res | 9 | 2017 | 1995 |
Brewer's Blackbird Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.