Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-capped Vireo Population Trend in Texas
Black-capped Vireo in Texas has surged: up 664% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
+664%Since 1978
20Routes In State
47Years
Notable Black-capped Vireo Trends in Texas
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-capped Vireo has surged in Texas: up 664% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Black-capped Vireo Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Black-capped Vireo in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.32 (95% range 0.12–0.52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+8%Change by 2029
0.32Projected 2029 index
0.12–0.5295% range
±36%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| 2026 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| 2027 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.51 |
| 2028 | 0.31 | 0.11 | 0.51 |
| 2029 | 0.32 | 0.12 | 0.52 |
Black-capped Vireo Survey Routes in Texas
| Allen Creek | 16 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Indian Mtn | 15 | 2024 | 1976 |
| San Saba | 4 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Leakey | 4 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Dripping Spg | 2 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Longfellow | 2 | 2005 | 1993 |
| Whit Mtn. | 2 | 2003 | 1994 |
| Chisos Basin | 1 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Pidcoke 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Utopia | 1 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Harper | 1 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Pear Valley | 1 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Montell | 1 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Prairie Mtn. | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Rockspring | 1 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Devils R Cyn | 1 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Comstock | 1 | 2023 | 2019 |
| Duran | 1 | 1996 | 1996 |
| Silver | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Eldorado | 1 | 2019 | 2007 |
Black-capped Vireo Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.