BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Belted Kingfisher In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Belted Kingfisher in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-87%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
25YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Belted Kingfisher has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Belted Kingfisher In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2017, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2017TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2017 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±75.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2017, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662017
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20130.000.000.17
20140.000.000.17
20150.000.000.17
20160.000.000.17
20170.000.000.17

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Ft MccoyFLORIDA21989
Myakka HeadFLORIDA11968
St AugustineFLORIDA11981
San AntonioFLORIDA12005
BelmoreFLORIDA11968
MabelFLORIDA11995
ScottsmoorFLORIDA12005
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA11972
PinecrestFLORIDA11966
IndiantownFLORIDA11993
Pennywash CrFLORIDA11997
Pleasant GrFLORIDA11988
Punta GordaFLORIDA11984
Vero BeachFLORIDA12007
Card SoundFLORIDA12012
WebbFLORIDA11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.