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Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Baird's Sparrow Population Trend in North Dakota

All statesGrassland birds

Baird's Sparrow in North Dakota has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-95%Since 1969
37Routes In State
57Years

Notable Baird's Sparrow Trends in North Dakota

long arc declinecomputed index

Baird's Sparrow has collapsed in North Dakota: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Baird's Sparrow Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Baird's Sparrow in North Dakota is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±220.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.495% range
±220.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.002.4
20260.000.002.4
20270.000.002.4
20280.000.002.4
20290.000.002.4

Baird's Sparrow Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording Baird's Sparrow in North Dakota.
Cooperstown1019891989
Dunn Center720231968
Bowman520241967
Douglas Crk519981983
Gorham420181968
Bentley420091990
Wild Rose420221982
Dickinson320241968
Golva320231987
Braddock320021988
Carson220191997
Lake George220001967
Danzig219911982
Horsehead Lk220101980
Buchanan220051968
Lakota219881988
Ft Yates220041980
Carpio219981967
Roosevelt Pk220171997
Cedar Creek220221968
Sheyenne Lk220021980
Solen220072007
Sydney119791979
Edgeley119841984
Emerado119801980

Baird's Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

minnesotamontanasouth-dakotawyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.